AI Futures · Choose Your Own Adventure
Pick four assumptions. See the world they make.
There are four axes that, between them, determine almost every consequential question about the next decade of AI. Sixteen futures sit at their corners. Toggle the dials below and read how silicon, frontier labs, AI-native startups, and incumbents fare in each.
Capabilities
Do model capabilities plateau or take off?
Demand for intelligence
Does it saturate, or stay unlimited?
Access
Do frontier models break away, or does OSS stay tight?
Economic propagation
Does the real economy absorb it fast or slow?
Scenario 1 of 16